UFC 328 odds – Khamzat Chimaev vs Sean Strickland fight UFC betting odds!
UFC 328 betting odds – Chimaev vs Strickland fight odds? Would you like to make a bet on Chimaev vs Strickland fight in UFC 328? Where to find Chimaev vs Strickland betting tips?
The build-up to UFC 328 has felt less like a standard title fight promotion and more like the final chapter of a long-simmering cold war.
On May 9, inside the Prudential Center in Newark, New Jersey, the undefeated middleweight champion Khamzat Chimaev (15-0) will finally step into the Octagon with his bitter rival, former champion Sean Strickland (30-7), to settle years of animosity in the main event.
From the moment UFC CEO Dana White made the announcement, the combat sports world was gripped not just by the narrative of a grudge match, but by one of the most fascinating betting landscapes of the year.
Chimaev enters the contest as a massive favorite, but a surprising chorus of former champions and analysts including Darren Till, Israel Adesanya, and Jorge Masvidal believe that Strickland has a real path to the biggest upset of 2026.
NOWHERE TO RUN
🏆 @KChimaev vs @SStricklandMMA
🏆 @JoshuaVanBT vs @TatsuroTaira[ #UFC328 LIVE MAY 9 on @ParamountPlus ] pic.twitter.com/IQxyrhdGEX
— UFC (@ufc) April 9, 2026
As fight night approaches, let’s break down the numbers, the history, and the “X-factors” that will decide this explosive title clash.
Here are the latest UFC betting odds on Chimaev vs Strickland fight odds and betting tips ahead UFC 328. Watch & Bet on Sports =>
UFC 328: Khamzat Chimaev vs Sean Strickland
Here’s comparing Khamzat Chimaev vs Sean Strickland ahead of UFC 328 — Chimaev vs Strickland with up-to-date fighter profile stats:
| Feature | Khamzat Chimaev | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Pro Record | 15-0 (11 finishes) | 30-7 (12 finishes) |
| Streak | 15 wins (active) | 1 win (defeated Anthony Hernandez via TKO in Feb 2026) |
| Height | 6′ 2″ (188 cm) | 6′ 1″ (185 cm) |
| Reach | 75″ (191 cm) | 76″ (193 cm) |
| Stance | Orthodox (switches occasionally) | Orthodox |
| Key Stats | • 5.9 sig. strikes landed/min• 4.1 takedowns per 15 min• 91% takedown defense• 100% fight finish rate | • 5.3 sig. strikes landed/min• 0.3 takedowns per 15 min• 78% takedown defense• 40% fight finish rate |
| Title Defenses | 0 (first defense as current middleweight champion) | 0 (former champion; lost title to Dricus du Plessis in 2024) |
Note: Chimaev enters as the undefeated champion; Strickland aims to reclaim the belt as a veteran underdog.
UFC 328 betting odds – best Chimaev vs Strickland betting tips!
Here are the most common prop bets for UFC 328:
Khamzat Chimaev: Given his status as the favorite, the props for Chimaev are largely about how and when he will win. Bettors who believe in “Borz’s” finishing instincts can target:
Method of Victory: His odds to win by submission are listed at +225, a more valuable play than his +150 price to win by decision, reflecting his reputation as a finisher.
Round Betting: The market expects an early finish. Chimaev’s odds to win in Round 1 are the shortest, with odds climbing for a win in Round 2, and becoming significantly longer for a victory in Round 3 or later.
Fight to Start Round X: A popular wager is betting on whether the fight will “Start Round 3.” Given Chimaev’s history of early finishes, the “No” (i.e., the fight ends in Rounds 1 or 2) is often favored.
Sean Strickland:
For those backing the underdog, the value lies in props that account for his path to victory.
Method of Victory: Strickland’s best value is to win by Decision, with implied odds around +413. This aligns with the belief that he can survive the early onslaught and out-work a tiring Chimaev.
Round Betting: Bettors targeting a Strickland win will find that his odds are significantly longer for a stoppage in the first three rounds. The best value is on Strickland to win in Round 4 or 5 when, if Chimaev’s gas tank is suspect, the underdog’s pressure could pay off.
Fight to Start Round X: Conversely, betting “Yes” on the fight to “Start Round 3” or “Start Round 4” is a popular way to back the underdog without picking a winner, as it suggests Strickland has survived the champion’s initial blitz.
Draw
A draw is the longest of long shots in any fight, and this is no exception. Most sportsbooks list the official odds for a Draw at anywhere from +5000 to +10000 (or 50/1 to 100/1), making it a novelty bet for those expecting a bizarre, low-action stalemate.
What are the odds for the Khamzat fight?
Khamzat Chimaev is the heavy favorite, ranging from -425 to -500 (decimal 1.24 to 1.25), giving him roughly a 78-80% implied win probability. Sean Strickland is the live underdog at +290 to +350 (decimal 3.90 to 4.50).
The line opened tighter but sharp money pushed Chimaev as high as -600 due to his wrestling hype. However, recent reports of Strickland’s improved takedown defense have eased the odds slightly.
In method-of-victory markets, Chimaev’s submission or TKO lines are heavily juiced, while Strickland’s best value lies in winning by Decision, with plus-money odds around +413.
What are the odds for Strickland Hernandez UFC?
For Strickland’s February 2026 fight against Anthony Hernandez, oddsmakers made Hernandez a heavy -278 favorite (decimal 1.36), while Strickland sat as the underdog at +225 (decimal 3.25).
The consensus expected Hernandez’s wrestling and eight-fight streak to overwhelm the veteran.
Instead, Strickland produced a dominant performance, landing 92 significant strikes while stuffing every takedown attempt, eventually winning by TKO in Round 3.
This victory proved his defensive wrestling has evolved. Given the stylistic similarities between Hernandez and Chimaev (aggressive grapplers), this fight is why Strickland’s current +350 underdog status is getting a second look from sharp bettors.
Here is a fight odds comparison for Khamzat Chimaev vs Sean Strickland at UFC 328:
| Sportsbook | Khamzat Chimaev (Champion) | Sean Strickland (Challenger) |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -410 (Favorite) | +320 (Underdog) |
| BetOnline.ag | -600 (Favorite) | +450 (Underdog) |
| Tipsport | -540 (Favorite) | +350 (Underdog) |
| Fortuna | -440 (Favorite) | +310 (Underdog) |
UFC 328 Chimaev vs Strickland fight odds and details
Promotion: Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC)
Date: Saturday, May 9, 2026
Venue: Prudential Center in Newark, New Jersey, USA
Main Card Starts: 9 p.m. ET / 6 p.m. PT (Sunday, 2 a.m. GMT)
Broadcast: Paramount+ (including all undercard fights)
Main Event: Khamzat Chimaev (c) vs. Sean Strickland (UFC Middleweight Championship)
UFC 328 Odds Vegas:
Vegas odds for UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland have the undefeated champion sitting as a heavy favorite across the board.
Most major books list Khamzat Chimaev between -410 and -500, while former champ Sean Strickland is the betting underdog returning +310 to +450.
The main card kicks off Saturday, May 9, at 9 p.m. ET (1 a.m. GMT) via Paramount+, following the prelims at 7 p.m. ET (11 p.m. GMT) and the early prelims at 5 p.m. ET (9 p.m. GMT) — all streaming live without a PPV fee.
Main Card (Starts 9:00 PM ET / 1:00 AM GMT, Paramount+)
UFC Middleweight Championship: Khamzat Chimaev (c) vs. Sean Strickland
UFC Flyweight Championship: Joshua Van (c) vs. Tatsuro Taira
Heavyweight: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta
Welterweight: Sean Brady vs. Joaquin Buckley
Lightweight: Bobby “King” Green vs. Jeremy Stephens
Preliminary Card (Starts 7:00 PM ET / 11:00 PM GMT, Paramount+)
Middleweight: Ateba Gautier vs. Ozzy Diaz
Middleweight: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio
Flyweight: Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa
Middleweight: Baisangur Susurkaev vs. Djorden Santos
Light Heavyweight: Jan Błachowicz vs. Bogdan Guskov
Welterweight: Joel Alvarez vs. Yaroslav Amosov
Early Preliminary Card (Starts 5:00 PM ET / 9:00 PM GMT, Paramount+)
Lightweight: Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rębecki
Featherweight: Pat Sabatini vs. William Gomis
Lightweight: Jim Miller vs. Jared Gordon
*Note: CBS will simulcast the final hour of prelims (8-9 PM ET) and first hour of the main card (9-10 PM ET) on broadcast television .*
UFC 328 Chimaev vs Strickland fight betting odds and start time – what time will Chimaev vs Strickland fight start?
What time is UFC 328 Chimaev vs Strickland fight? Here is the UFC 328 start time in the UK and US:
The main card for UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland is scheduled to begin at 9 p.m. ET on Saturday, May 9. The cage walk for the main event is expected around 12 a.m. ET on Sunday.
| Region/Time-Zone | Early Prelims (Paramount+) | Prelims (Paramount+) | Main Card (Paramount+) |
|---|---|---|---|
| UK (GMT) | 10:00 PM (Saturday) | 12:00 AM (Sunday) | 2:00 AM (Sunday) |
| US (Eastern Time, ET) | 5:00 PM (Saturday) | 7:00 PM (Saturday) | 9:00 PM (Saturday) |
Note: Given the time difference, the event continues past midnight into the early hours of Sunday morning for UK-based viewers.
*UK times are early Sunday morning because of the time-difference.
How to watch and bet on UFC 328 Chimaev vs Strickland fight, betting odds and tips?
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The main event is the fight between Khamzat Chimaev vs Sean Strickland UFC 328 is shown on Paramount+ as the only US channel and with live US commentators.
UFC 328 betting odds – Khamzat Chimaev vs Sean Strickland fight betting odds and tips!
(Note: Odds may shift closer to fight night.)
| Fighter | Moneyline (Win) | To Win by KO/TKO | To Win by Submission | To Win by Decision | Fight Goes Distance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khamzat Chimaev | 1.24 | 1.90 | 1.70 | 2.50 | 2.50 |
| Sean Strickland | 4.10 | 3.00 | 5.00 | 3.00 | 2.50 |
UFC 328 Main Event: Khamzat Chimaev vs Sean Strickland
Opening Odds:
- Khamzat Chimaev: -410 odds at bet365
- Sean Strickland: +340 odds at bet365
Current Odds:
- Khamzat Chimaev: -415 odds at bet365
- Sean Strickland: +345 odds at bet365
UFC 328 Co-Main Event: Joshua Van vs Tatsuro Taira
- Joshua Van: -185 odds at bet365
- Tatsuro Taira: +160 odds at bet365
Remember, fight outcomes can be unpredictable, so bet responsibly and enjoy the thrill of UFC 328!
UFC 328: Chimaev vs Strickland Prediction
When breaking down the head-to-head (H2H) matchup, the analysts are split between the “eye test” of the oddsmakers and the “heart” of the MMA community.
The Champion’s Path (Chimaev):
Khamzat Chimaev is a “bat out of hell,” as former champion Israel Adesanya described him. His strategy is singular: close the distance immediately, secure the takedown (55% accuracy), and use his overwhelming ground control to either secure a submission or exhaust his opponent.
If Chimaev takes Strickland down in the first round, the pressure and strength difference will likely be insurmountable, leading to a retention of his title.
The Challenger’s Path (Strickland):
Strickland’s strategy is a masterclass in defensive volume. He needs to survive the “blitz” of the first two rounds.
If he can stuff the initial takedowns as he did perfectly against Hernandez, he can force Chimaev into a striking battle. Strickland’s high-volume jab and constant forward pressure wear down explosive wrestlers.
If the fight reaches the championship rounds (Rounds 4 and 5) and Chimaev is gassed from failed takedown attempts, Strickland’s pace and cardio become the dominant weapons.
Prediction: Chimaev wins via Submission (Round 2). Expect a frantic first round where Strickland survives, but the relentless pressure and wrestling of “Borz” will find a home in the second, choking the life out of the rivalry and securing the first defense of his middleweight throne.
More about UFC 328 odds and how to watch the fights on TV
Stream UFC 328 live stream free online? The UFC fight between Chimaev vs Strickland does not appear on any ordinary channel or stream. The UFC 328 is shown mainly on paid channels and pay-per-view.
Here is how to watch UFC stream live online and how to watch UFC 328 on TV in UK (TNT Sport), in US (ESPN+) and global (UFC.tv, Fight Pass). Watch & Bet on Sports =>
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