USA vs Paraguay World Cup prediction, betting odds tips, match preview & lineups World Cup 2026!
USA vs Paraguay prediction today? The FIFA World Cup 2026 Group D clash between the co-hosts USA and Paraguay will be played on 12 June 2026 at Los Angeles Stadium, Los Angeles, USA.
It will be the opening World Cup match for the Americans on home soil, while Paraguay return to the tournament for the first time since 2010.
Read on for our USA vs Paraguay World Cup 2026 prediction for Saturday’s match. Watch & Bet on Football =>
USA vs Paraguay odds and betting tips (1X2)
What are the USA vs Paraguay predictions according to the winner odds?
| Odds USA vs Paraguay 1X2 | ||
| 1 | X | 2 |
| 1.95 | 3.40 | 3.75 |
| Odds Paraguay vs USA 1X, 12 & X2 | ||
| 1X | 12 | 2X |
| 1.40 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Odds Both Teams To Score (BTTS) | ||
| YES | NO | |
| 2.00 | 1.55 | |
| Odds To Score Over/Under 2.5 Goals |
||
| O 2,5 | U 2,5 | |
| 2.20 | 1.71 | |
What are the odds of Paraguay beating USA?
The odds of Paraguay beating USA are 3.75 with bet365 with most major bookmakers, while the USA odds are priced at 1.95 with bet365 to win the match. The USA vs Paraguay winner odds suggest that the host nation is the favourite to begin their FIFA World Cup 2026 campaign with a victory.
Playing in front of a home crowd gives the Americans a significant advantage, but Paraguay have shown they can compete with top international sides and could cause an upset. Watch & Bet on Football =>
Can the USA beat Paraguay?
Yes, the USA can certainly beat Paraguay and are considered the favourites going into this FIFA World Cup 2026 Group D match.
The first step on Friday night. pic.twitter.com/rqvA99ihig
— U.S. Soccer Men’s National Team (@USMNT) June 11, 2026
Most bookmakers have the USA priced around [1.95] to win, reflecting the hosts’ advantage and stronger squad depth.
There are several reasons to back the Americans:
- Home advantage in front of a passionate crowd.
- A talented attacking lineup featuring players such as Christian Pulisic, Folarin Balogun and Gio Reyna.
- A strong head-to-head record, with the USA winning five of the previous nine meetings.
- A recent 2-1 victory over Paraguay in a 2025 friendly.
However, Paraguay should not be underestimated. They are well-organised defensively and recorded notable results during qualifying, including victories over top South American nations.
USA vs Paraguay betting odds and tips – here is our USA vs Paraguay predictions, odds and betting tips!
USA vs Paraguay betting tips? Here are the best USA vs Paraguay betting odds and our Paraguay vs USA predictions and betting tips.
We expect USA to beat Paraguay at 1.95 with bet365. Below you can read the reasons for our USA vs Paraguay betting tips predictions.
The USA enter the tournament under manager Mauricio Pochettino carrying the expectations of a home nation.
The Americans are among the favourites to qualify from Group D and will look to start their campaign with three points.
Reports suggest all 26 players are fit and available for selection. Paraguay arrive with confidence after an impressive CONMEBOL qualifying campaign.
Coach Gustavo Alfaro has insisted that Paraguay are not in the World Cup simply to participate but to compete. Their disciplined defensive style and dangerous counter-attacks could cause problems for the hosts.
The tactical battle should be fascinating, with the USA expected to dominate possession while Paraguay sit compact and look to break quickly through players such as Julio Enciso and Miguel Almirón. Watch & Bet on Football =>
USA vs Paraguay winner prediction today
Our USA vs Paraguay full time prediction is the USA to win at 1.95 with bet365.
| 1 | X | 2 |
| 1.95 | 3.40 | 3.75 |
Odds USA vs Paraguay Both Teams To Score Goal (BTTS)
What are the best odds on both teams to score goals? We expect both teams to score goal (BTTS) at 2.00.
| BTTS YES | BTTS NO |
| 2.00 | 1.55 |
Odds Paraguay vs USA To Score Over/Under 2.5 Goals
What are the best odds on over and under 2.5 goals?
| Over 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals |
| 2.20 | 1.71 |
We expect USA v Paraguay to score over 2.5 goals at 2.20.
USA vs Paraguay correct score prediction
Our USA vs Paraguay correct score prediction is USA to win 2-1 at 8.00 with bet365.
USA vs Paraguay first goal scorer prediction
The USA are favourites to score first, with attackers such as Christian Pulisic and Folarin Balogun expected to lead the line.
Betting markets also rate Paraguay’s Antonio Sanabria and Miguel Almirón as their main scoring threats.
| USA goal scorers | First goal scorer | To score goal | Not to score goal |
| Christian Pulisic | 5.50 | 3.25 | 1.44 |
| Folarin Balogun | 5.00 | 3.15 | 1.47 |
| Ricardo Pepi | 5.50 | 3.25 | 1.44 |
| Haji Wright | 6.50 | 3.50 | 1.40 |
Folarin Balogun (USA) [5.00] – Expected to start as the central striker and is among the shortest-priced scorers.
| Paraguay goal scorers | First goal scorer | To score goal | Not to score goal |
| Antonio Sanabria | 8.50 | 4.80 | 1.26 |
| Miguel Almiron | 10.00 | 5.50 | 1.22 |
| Ramon Sosa | 9.00 | 5.00 | 1.25 |
| Diego Gomez | 12.00 | 6.50 | 1.18 |
Antonio Sanabria (Paraguay) [5.00] – Paraguay’s most likely scorer if the South Americans find a breakthrough.
Prediction: Our USA vs Paraguay first goal scorer prediction is Folarin Balogun at 5.00 with bet365 to score the first goal in a 2-1 USA victory.
Reasons for USA vs Paraguay predictions
Here are our reasons for our USA vs Paraguay prediction and betting tips.
USA are the favourites for this fixture at 1.95 with bet365, while Paraguay are available at 3.75 with bet365. The hosts will benefit from home support and possess greater attacking quality through players such as Christian Pulisic, Folarin Balogun and Gio Reyna.
Group D is expected to be highly competitive, making a winning start crucial for both teams. USA will view this match as a must-win fixture if they are to challenge for top spot and progress comfortably to the knockout stages.
Paraguay are a disciplined side and difficult to break down, but the Americans have more depth and creativity in the final third.
Our prediction is a 2-1 USA victory, with the hosts making the most of home advantage to secure three important points in their opening Group D match.
Our USA vs Paraguay prediction and betting odds tips
Here are our USA vs Paraguay predictions and betting odds and our betting tips for the weekend match in the World Cup 2026.
| Market | Predictions | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Full Time Result | USA Win | 1.95 |
| Both Teams To Score | Yes | 2.00 |
| Over/Under 2.5 Goals | Over 2.5 Goals | 2.20 |
| Correct Score | USA 2-1 Paraguay | 6.00 |
| First Goalscorer | Folarin Balogun | 4.50 |
USA vs Paraguay Head to Head Matches Results, Form & Predicted Lineups
USA and Paraguay have met 9 times in international football. The USA hold the advantage with 5 wins, while Paraguay have won 2 matches, and there have been 2 draws.
USA vs Paraguay Head to Head Matches Results
Here is USA vs Paraguay Head To Head Results:
| Games won by USA: | 5 |
| Games drawn: | 2 |
| Games won by Paraguay: | 2 |
USA vs Paraguay Previous Results
The most recent meeting came in November 2025, when the USA defeated Paraguay 2-1 in an international friendly. Their only previous FIFA World Cup meeting was in 1930, with the USA winning 3-0.
USA vs Paraguay last five matches
USA and Paraguay have met 9 times in international football. The USA hold the advantage with 5 wins, while Paraguay have won 2 matches, and there have been 2 draws.
| Date | Match | Result | Match | Competition |
| 15 Nov 2025 | USA vs Paraguay | W | 2-1 | International Friendly |
| 27 Mar 2018 | USA vs Paraguay | L | 1-0 | International Friendly |
| 12 Jun 2016 | USA vs Paraguay | D | 1-0 | Copa America |
| 29 Mar 2011 | USA vs Paraguay | W | 0-1 | International Friendly |
| 02 Jul 2007 | USA vs Paraguay | W | 1-3 | Copa America |
USA last five matches results
USA have won two and lost three of their last five matches heading into the World Cup opener against Paraguay.
| Date | Match | Result | Score | Competition |
| 06 Jun 2026 | USA vs Germany | Loss | 1-2 | International Friendly |
| 31 May 2026 | USA vs Senegal | Win | 3-2 | International Friendly |
| 01 Apr 2026 | USA vs Portugal | Loss | 0-2 | International Friendly |
| 28 Mar 2026 | USA vs Belgium | Loss | 2-5 | International Friendly |
| 19 Nov 2025 | USA vs Uruguay | Win | 5-1 | International Friendly |
Paraguay last five matches results
Paraguay have won three and lost two of their last five matches, including an impressive 4-0 victory over Nicaragua in their final warm-up game before the FIFA World Cup 2026.
| Date | Match | Result | Score | Competition |
| 05 Jun 2026 | Paraguay vs Nicaragua | Win | 4-0 | International Friendly |
| 31 Mar 2026 | Morocco vs Paraguay | Loss | 2-1 | International Friendly |
| 27 Mar 2026 | Greece vs Paraguay | Win | 0-1 | International Friendly |
| 19 Nov 2025 | Mexico vs Paraguay | Win | 1-2 | International Friendly |
| 15 Nov 2025 | USA vs Paraguay | Loss | 2-1 | International Friendly |
USA vs Paraguay team formations, predicted starting lineups & possible lineups today (XI)
Here are our USA vs Paraguay predictions of the team formations and starting 11 lineups for the World Cup 2026 match today. Watch & Bet on Football =>
USA team formation (3-4-2-1)
USA are expected to use a 3-4-2-1 formation that provides defensive stability while allowing wing-backs to push forward.
The system gives creative players like Gio Reyna and Diego Luna freedom behind striker Folarin Balogun, while maintaining control in midfield through Tanner Tessmann and Cristian Roldan.
Paraguay team formation (4-2-3-1)
Paraguay are likely to line up in a 4-2-3-1 formation focused on defensive organisation and quick counter-attacks.
Andrés Cubas and Diego Gómez provide protection in midfield, while Miguel Almirón, Julio Enciso and Ramón Sosa support lone striker Gabriel Ávalos in attacking transitions.
USA vs Paraguay Starting Lineups
Here are the predicted USA vs Paraguay starting lineups today.
Paraguay predicted starting lineup vs USA today
USA starting lineup XI (11): Matt Freese; Miles Robinson, Tim Ream, Auston Trusty; Sergiño Dest, Tanner Tessmann, Cristian Roldan, Max Arfsten; Gio Reyna, Diego Luna; Folarin Balogun.
USA predicted starting lineup vs Paraguay today
Paraguay starting XI (11): Rodrigo Morínigo; Juan Cáceres, Gustavo Gómez, Omar Alderete, Blas Riveros; Andrés Cubas, Diego Gómez; Miguel Almirón, Julio Enciso, Ramón Sosa; Gabriel Ávalos.
More about USA vs Paraguay World Cup predictions 2026
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