Who is winning the Super Bowl? Super Bowl 2026 predictions!
Who’s winning the Super Bowl 2026? What team is winning the Super Bowl this year? Will the Patriots or the Seahwaks be winning the Super Bowl on Sunday? Here are our latest Super Bowl 2026 predictions about who is winning the Super Bowl this year. Watch & Bet on Football =>
In a remarkable rematch over a decade in the making, the Seattle Seahawks and New England Patriots will clash in Super Bowl LX.
On paper, the Seahawks are the clear favorites, holding a 4.5-point advantage.
Yet, beneath the surface of the betting lines, a story of stunning preseason longshots, a historic multi-million dollar wager, and the Patriots’ underdog pedigree sets the stage for a championship game filled with intrigue.
Who’s Winning the Super Bowl 2026 Predictions?
The overwhelming consensus points to the Seattle Seahawks defeating the New England Patriots in Super Bowl LX.
Analysts are nearly unanimous, with one survey showing 47 out of 57 experts (82.5%) picking the Seahawks.
Bettors also favor Seattle, with the moneyline at -238 and a 4.5-point spread. This Super Bowl is a rematch of their dramatic 2015 meeting.
The Patriots’ success hinges on young quarterback Drake Maye outplaying the Seahawks’ top-ranked defense.
So, who has the upper hand heading into the big game? Let’s break it down.
Super Bowl odds 2026 predictions
The betting markets align with expert opinion, establishing the Seahawks as clear favorites.
The current consensus spread is Seahawks -4.5 points, with the over/under for total points set at 45.5.
The moneyline, which bets on the outright winner, sits at approximately Seattle -195 / New England +165, meaning a bettor must wager $195 on Seattle to win $100, while a $100 bet on New England would yield $165 in profit.
Odds have moved steadily in Seattle’s direction since the matchup was set. The spread opened at Seahawks -3 but was pushed to -4.5 by early, sharp money backing Seattle.
Similarly, the total has dropped from 46.5 to 45.5, reflecting bettors’ respect for both teams’ top-tier defenses.
Table: Evolution of Super Bowl LX Betting Odds
| Date | Spread | Total Points (Over/Under) | Moneyline (Seahawks) | Moneyline (Patriots) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan. 26 (Opening Line) | Seahawks -3 | 46.5 | -155 | +135 |
| Feb. 2-4 (Current Line) | Seahawks -4.5 | 45.5 | -195 to -238 | +165 to +195 |
Who’s winning the Super Bowl 2025?
The storyline of Super Bowl LX is driven by compelling personal and team narratives.
For the Seattle Seahawks, the focus is on quarterback Sam Darnold’s career resurrection.
Once considered a draft bust, Darnold is the overwhelming favorite to win Super Bowl MVP, receiving 22 of 57 expert votes.
His primary target, receiver Jaxon Smith-Njigba, is a close second in the MVP conversation with 19 votes and is a popular pick to score the game’s first touchdown.
For the New England Patriots, the story is about a historic turnaround. Led by first-year head coach (and former Patriots linebacker) Mike Vrabel, the team has surged from a 4-13 record to the Super Bowl.
Their success hinges on second-year quarterback Drake Maye, who could become the second-youngest QB to ever start, and the youngest to win, a Super Bowl. Maye received six MVP votes from experts picking the Patriots.
Table: Key Super Bowl MVP Candidates and Expert Support
| Player | Team | Position | MVP Odds (DraftKings) | Expert Votes (ESPN) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Darnold | Seahawks | QB | +115 | 22 |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | Seahawks | WR | +550 | 19 |
| Drake Maye | Patriots | QB | +240 | 6 |
| Kenneth Walker III | Seahawks | RB | +600 | 3 |
Who is projected to win the Super Bowl in 2026?
The consensus for Super Bowl LX is clear: the Seattle Seahawks are the overwhelming favorites to defeat the New England Patriots and claim the Lombardi Trophy.
An extensive survey of NFL experts reveals a stark disparity in predictions. Of 57 ESPN analysts and reporters, a commanding 47 (82.5%) picked the Seahawks to win, while only 10 sided with the Patriots.
This sentiment is echoed by NFL analysts, where 20 out of 23 predictions favor Seattle, with an average projected score of Seahawks 25.5, Patriots 19.2.
The most common predicted score is 27-17 in favor of Seattle, and 35 experts believe the game will be decided by a touchdown or less, suggesting expectations of a competitive contest.
This projection is backed by Seattle’s stellar season; they boasted the league’s best defense (allowing just 17.2 points per game) and a potent offense that scored 28.4 points per game.
Who bet $2 million on the Super Bowl?
In a dramatic counterpoint to the expert consensus, massive “whale” bets are flooding in on the underdog Patriots.
The most notable is from Jim “Mattress Mack” McIngvale, the Houston furniture magnate famous for multimillion-dollar wagers.
He has placed a $2 million bet on the New England Patriots at +200 odds at Caesars Sportsbook, which would net him a $4 million profit if they win.
Mattress Mack is not alone. Another bettor placed a $1.1 million wager on the Patriots’ moneyline at Circa Sports, which could return nearly $2.1 million.
These headline-grabbing bets are part of a larger trend where major money is showing confidence in New England despite the spread.
However, the largest potential payout belongs to a strategic bettor who placed three $50,000 futures wagers on the Seahawks last August at BetMGM.
Two have already cashed, and the third—a 60-to-1 bet for Seattle to win the Super Bowl—remains alive. If the Seahawks win, this single ticket will pay out $3 million.
Who won Super Bowl last year?
Super bowl prediction
Based on the synthesis of expert analysis, statistical trends, and the overarching narratives, the prediction leans decisively toward the Seattle Seahawks winning Super Bowl LX.
The most likely outcome is a 27-20 victory for Seattle. This score falls within the most common predicted range and aligns with the average expert projection.
The path to victory will be paved by their #1 ranked defense, which is expected to create pressure and key turnovers against Drake Maye.
On offense, Sam Darnold, supported by a strong rushing attack led by Kenneth Walker III, is predicted to play efficient, mistake-free football—a redemption arc years in the making.
However, the Patriots are not to be dismissed. Their own formidable defense, ranked 5th in points allowed, and Maye’s proven ability to engineer fourth-quarter comebacks (he had 4 during the regular season) ensure this will be a close game.
Expect a tense battle that is decided in the final minutes, with the Seahawks making one more critical play to seal their second franchise championship.
Ultimately, while the allure of a Patriots dynasty-reboot story and the staggering million-dollar bets on New England are captivating, the weight of evidence points to Seattle’s more complete team lifting the Lombardi Trophy at Levi’s Stadium on February 8.
More about Super Bowl predictions 2026
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