Ballon d’Or 2025 winner predictions, odds & betting tips!
Ballon d’Or 2025 winner predictions and odds? Who will win Ballon d’Or 2025? Who is gonna win the Ballon d’Or 2025? Ballon d’Or 2025 award predictions and odds? Have you ever wanted to find out what are the Ballon d’Or winner odds of your favorite player to win Ballon d’Or 2025?
The Ballon d’Or race is wide open in 2025. With Lionel Messi and Cristiano Ronaldo out of the picture, a new king will be crowned. Here’s why this year’s battle is the most thrilling in decades—and who might clinch football’s ultimate prize.
Well, if you have then worry not because we have prepared our article with the Ballon d’Or 2025 winner predictions and odds. Watch & Bet on Football Live =>
Ballon d’Or prediction and history
Since 1956, the Ballon d’Or has defined footballing greatness. Legends like Johan Cruyff (3 wins), Michel Platini (3), and Marco van Basten (3) set early benchmarks, but Lionel Messi’s record 8 victories and Cristiano Ronaldo’s 5 dominated the modern era.
Rodri’s 2024 win ended their stronghold, but a torn ACL ruled him out of 2025 contention.
Now, for the first time since 2007, back-to-back first-time winners are guaranteed—marking a seismic shift in football’s hierarchy. Watch & Bet on Football Live =>
Also check out full list of Ballon D’or Winners
Ballon d’Or 2025 award event date and time
With France football announcing their 30 man short list for the Ballon d’Or on 22nd September 2025 the date and time have also been set for the award event.
- Date: September 22, 2025
- Time: ~7:00 PM CET (1:00 PM ET)
- Venue: Théâtre du Châtelet, Paris
France Football and UEFA will co-host the gala, featuring awards like the Kopa Trophy (best U21 player), Yashin Trophy (best goalkeeper), and debut categories for women’s football.
Ballon d’Or 2025 winner prediction and odds – who will win the Ballon d’Or 2025?
Who will win 2025 Ballon d’Or? Dembele, Yamal and Raphinha are the main favorites to win 2025 Ballon d’Or. One of Ousmane Dembele and Lamine Yamal is tipped to beat the other.
Ballon d’Or 2025 Winner Prediction Today
Ousmane Dembele (PSG & France) is the overwhelming favorite to lift the 2025 Ballon d’Or. His pivotal role in PSG’s historic quadruple—including their first-ever Champions League title (scoring in the 5–0 final rout of Inter Milan)—cements his claim.
With 33 goals and 13 assists across 48 games, Dembele delivered clutch performances in critical matches, topping UEFA’s “decisive moments” metric.
Though Barcelona’s Lamine Yamal (18) threatens as a generational talent, Dembele’s trophy haul and consistency edge him ahead.
Bookmakers place his odds at 1/3, reflecting near-unanimous confidence in his victory at the September 22 ceremony in Paris.
Ballon d’Or 2025 winner prediction odds
| Player | Odds |
| Ousmane Dembele | 1.25 |
| Lamine Yamal | 6.00 |
| Vitinha | 15.00 |
| Mohamed Salah | 17.00 |
| Raphinha | 20.00 |
| Cole Palmer | 34.00 |
The Ballon d’Or winner 2025 odds are provided by bet365. Watch & Bet on Football =>
who will win the Ballon d’Or 2025?
Ousmane Dembele (PSG & France) | Odds: 1.25
The Case for Him: Masterminded PSG’s first-ever Champions League title (scoring in the 5–0 final rout of Inter Milan), sealed a historic quadruple (Ligue 1, Coupe de France, Trophee des Champions, UCL), and bagged the Ligue 1 Golden Boot.
Stats: 33 goals, 13 assists in 48 games—a direct goal contribution every 69 minutes.
X-Factor: Big-game brilliance. Dembele delivered in finals and topped UEFA’s “decisive moments” metric.
Lamine Yamal (Barcelona & Spain) | Odds: 6.00
The Case for Him: The 18-year-old phenom anchored Barcelona’s domestic treble (La Liga, Copa del Rey, Supercopa) and propelled Spain to UEFA Nations League glory.
Stats: 21 goals, 25 assists—topping Europe in dribbles and chances created.
X-Factor: Could become the youngest winner ever, breaking Ronaldo’s 1997 record (21 years old).
| Player | Trophies (2024/25) | Goal Contributions | Awards |
|---|---|---|---|
| O. Dembele | 4 (UCL, Ligue 1 x2, Cup) | 46 (33G, 13A) | Ligue 1 POTY, Golden Boot |
| L. Yamal | 4 (La Liga, Copa, Supercup, Nations League) | 46 (21G, 25A) | La Liga U23 POTY |
The Dark Horses
Vitinha (PSG & Portugal) | Odds: 15.0: PSG’s midfield “metronome”—won UCL and Nations League.
Mohamed Salah (Liverpool & Egypt) | Odds: 17.0: Premier League title, 34 goals, 23 assists—but UCL exit hurt his chances.
Raphinha (Barcelona & Brazil) | Odds: 20.0: 34 goals + 25 assists, but no European trophy.
Ballon d’Or 2025 Rankings
1. Ousmane Dembele (PSG): Combines team success (UCL, Ligue 1, Coupe de France) with elite stats (46 G/A).
2. Lamine Yamal (Barcelona): At 18, his 21 goals and 25 assists powered Barça’s domestic treble and Nations League run. Topped European ratings with a 7.91 average.
3. Mohamed Salah (Liverpool): Premier League POTY with 34 goals and 23 assists, but UCL exit dented his chances.
4. Raphinha (Barcelona): Record-tying 59 G/A (34G, 25A), though no European trophy.
5. Vitinha (PSG): Midfield maestro behind PSG’s UCL win and Portugal’s Nations League triumph. Dark horse at 14/1 odds.
Ballon d’Or 2025 Nominees
PSG dominates the 30-man shortlist with nine nominees, including Dembele, Vitinha, Hakimi, and Donnarumma. Barcelona follows with four (Yamal, Raphinha, Lewandowski, Pedri), while Premier League stars like Salah, Palmer, and Rice feature prominently. Watch & Bet on Football =>
Here are the 2025 Ballon d’Or nominees!#ballondor pic.twitter.com/tehmbU4R0j
— Ballon d’Or (@ballondor) August 7, 2025
Notably, no former winners (Messi, Ronaldo, Rodri) are nominated for the first time since 2006. Key snubs include Julian Alvarez (Atletico Madrid), while Scotland’s Scott McTominay (Napoli) earns a historic nod.
The list underscores a generational shift, with 18-year-old Yamal also up for the Kopa Trophy.
Check out Full list Ballon d’Or 2025 nominees list – who is nominated for Ballon d’Or 2025?
Ballon d’Or award winner 2024!- Rodri Wins 2024 Ballon d’Or
Ballon d’Or award winner 2024? Rodri has won his first Ballon d’Or in 2024! The Manchester City midfielder earned this prestigious honor thanks to his exceptional consistency, pivotal role in City’s treble-winning season, and contributions to Spain’s success on the international stage.
Ballon d’Or award winner 2019, 2021 & 2023 – Lionel Messi wins Ballon d’Or 2019, 2021 & 2023!
Ballon d’Or award winner 2023? He won his record seven men’s Ballon d’Or award, beating Liverpool defender Virgil van Dijk to take the honours. Third was Cristiano Ronaldo.
Ballon d’Or award winner 2018 – Luka Modric wins Ballon d’Or 2018!
Ballon d’Or award Winner 2018? Luka Modric won 2018 Ballon d’Or award. He become the first player other than Lionel Messi or Cristiano Ronaldo to claim the award in more than a decade, after Kaka in 2007.
Modric’s victory has finished a 10-year run during which Cristiano Ronaldo and Lionel Messi traded possession of the award, thought-about one among world soccer’s prime particular person honors. Cristiano Ronaldo was second last year, Lionel Messi finished 5th behind Kylian Mbappe. Atlético Madrid ahead Antoine Griezmann was third, simply forward of his France teammate Kylian Mbappé.
Is Ronaldo in the Ballon d’Or 2025?
No. For the first time in 18 years, no former winner is nominated. Ronaldo (Al-Nassr), Messi (Inter Miami), Rodri (injured), Modric, and Benzema all missed the 30-man shortlist. This ends an era where Messi or Ronaldo were nominated every year since 2006. Watch & Bet on Football =>
Who Will Most Likely Win the Super Ballon d’Or?
The Super Ballon d’Or—a hypothetical lifetime achievement award—remains unofficial. If revived, Lionel Messi (8 Ballons d’Or, World Cup, 4 UCLs) would be the overwhelming favorite. Cristiano Ronaldo (5 Ballons d’Or, 5 UCLs, Euros) is his only rival, but Messi’s 2022 World Cup win likely seals it.
How Many Ballon d’Or Does CR7 Have?
Cristiano Ronaldo has won 5 Ballons d’Or (2008, 2013, 2014, 2016, 2017). Only Messi (8) has more. Ronaldo also holds the record for most nominations (18).
2025 Ballon d’Or winner predictions and odds
Based on the latest odds and expert analysis, Ousmane Dembélé (PSG) is the overwhelming favorite to win the 2025 Ballon d’Or after spearheading PSG’s historic quadruple, including their first-ever Champions League title. His 35 goals and 14 assists—plus decisive performances in finals—cement his status.
Lamine Yamal (Barcelona), at just 18, is his closest challenger. He dazzled with 21 goals and 25 assists, driving Barça to a domestic treble and Nations League glory. While his talent is undeniable, Barca’s UCL semi-final exit slightly dims his chances versus Dembele’s trophy sweep. Watch & Bet on Football =>
More about Ballon d’Or winner prediction
While Yamal’s fairytale season captivates purists, Dembele’s trophy haul and clutch gene make him the logical pick.
PSG’s quadruple—a first for a French club—and his role as their talisman align perfectly with the Ballon d’Or’s criteria: individual brilliance, team success, and decisiveness.
“Dembele isn’t just playing—he’s performing theatre. Every touch in the UCL knockout stage felt scripted.” — GOAL.com
Yamal will push him close, but expect the Frenchman to lift the Golden Ball on September 22.
For real-time updates as the ceremony unfolds, follow SillySeason.com—your hub for award insights, tactical deep dives, and football’s seismic shifts. Watch & Bet on Football =>
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