Premier League odds for winners, relegated teams, and top 4 finish – Find out all!
The fixture list is out, the transfer window sizzles, and bookmakers are scrambling to set the betting landscape for the most unpredictable league in the world.
After Liverpool’s stunning title triumph under Arne Slot defied expectations last season, the 2025/26 Premier League campaign promises another rollercoaster.
Forget predictable dominance; this season is brewing as a tactical chess match fueled by blockbuster signings and immense pressure.
At SillySeason.com, we dive deep into the latest odds, uncovering the value picks and potential disasters waiting to unfold.
So who is your money on to win Premier League 2025/26? Read on to find all about the teams, the players, the winners, and more! Watch & Bet on Football =>
Premier League Winner Odds 25/26: Outright Winners of Premier League 2025/26
Premier League odds are what will help you know which team has the best chance of winning the league and who can finish in the top 4 and other results.
Who has the best odds to win the Premier League?

Liverpool, basking in the glow of their unexpected 2024/25 title win, enter the new season not just as champions, but as strong favourites to retain their crown.
Priced around 3.00 (Unibet), the Anfield outfit has sent a powerful message in the transfer market.
Slot, evolving Klopp’s legacy rather than dismantling it, has secured latest signings: flying wing-back Jeremie Frimpong (£40m+) and the sensational playmaker Florian Wirtz, smashing their transfer record.
This proactive strengthening from a position of power is a key reason the bookmakers back them.
However, Arsenal also will be back in the fray, and are they in with a shout for the title this season? We will tell you all odds you need to know.
Odds to Win Premier League 2025: The Challengers Circle
Arsenal (3.25): The pressure cooker intensifies for Mikel Arteta. Three consecutive near-misses have the Gunners installed as the primary challengers.
The Kroenkes promise investment, with Martin Zubimendi arriving, but the glaring need for a proven striker remains unanswered.
Can they finally cross the line, or is “Always the bridesmaid” becoming their permanent epitaph?
Manchester City (3.50): A season without trophies felt alien for Pep Guardiola. Kevin De Bruyne’s departure marks the end of an era, sparking a significant transition.
Signings like Tijjani Reijnders (Milan), Rayan Ait Nouri, and Rayan Cherki aim to refresh the squad. While not favourites, discounting Guardiola’s tactical genius is foolish. They remain a formidable threat.
The Outsiders: Chelsea and Newcastle sit together around 15.00, reflecting their Champions League qualification but also the perceived gap to the top three.
Manchester United, despite last season’s disaster (15th!) and a tough opening run, are priced at 26.00, largely on reputation and the Cunha signing. Watch & Bet on Football =>
*Premier League 2025/26 Winner Odds (Representative):*
| Club | Odds |
| Liverpool | 3.00 |
| Arsenal | 3.25 |
| Man City | 3.50 |
| Chelsea | 15.00 |
| Newcastle | 15.00 |
| Man Utd | 26.00 |
Premier League Title Odds: What Are The Odds For The Premier League Winner
Let us now get into the business of finding out exactly what odds do the big hitters have of winning the Premier League title!
The odds for the top 4 are tough to predict. The Premier League has lots of good teams with the likes of Enzo Maresca’s Chelsea, Mikel Arteta’s Arsenal, Thomas Franks’s Spurs, and Ruben’s Manchester United favorites to break into the top 4 behind Liverpool and Manchester City.
| Club | Odds |
| Liverpool | 1.04 |
| Arsenal | 1.08 |
| Manchester City | 1.44 |
| Chelsea | 1.50 |
| Manchester United | 3.50 |
| Tottenham | 4.00 |
| Newcastle United | 7.00 |
| Aston Villa | 9.00 |
| Brighton | 11.00 |
Premier League Top 4 Odds: The Champions League Scramble

Securing a top-four finish and lucrative Champions League football is often a season-defining goal. Unsurprisingly, the title favourites dominate the market here too.
Liverpool, Arsenal, Man City: Considered near-certainties by the bookmakers. Their squads, resources, and managerial pedigree make them overwhelming favourites for the Champions League spots.
Chelsea & Newcastle (Short Odds): Both clubs, having secured top 4 finishes last season, are expected to be firmly in the mix again. Chelsea’s large squad and Newcastle’s Champions League boost give them an edge.
Manchester United (Longer Odds): Despite their lowly finish last term (42 points!), Spreadex forecasts a significant points improvement (57-59), but this still likely leaves them short of the top 4. Odds reflect this cautious optimism mixed with scepticism.
The Best of the Rest: Teams like Tottenham (36.00 for the title), Aston Villa, and potentially Brighton would need to significantly outperform expectations to crash this party.
Premier League Top 10 Finish Odds Today:
While the top 4 grabs headlines, a top-half finish signifies stability and progress for many clubs. Spreadex points spreads offer insight:
Based on the latest odds from leading bookmakers like Boylesports and Smarkets, here are the Premier League Top 10 Finish odds for the 2025/26 season, highlighting each team’s projected chances of securing a mid-table or higher position.
Premier League 2025/26 Top 10 Finish Odds
(Odds sourced as of July 24, 2025)
| Team | Top 10 Odds | Category |
|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 1.01 | Near Certainty |
| Liverpool | 1.01 | Near Certainty |
| Manchester City | 1.04 | Near Certainty |
| Chelsea | 1.05 | Near Certainty |
| Newcastle United | 1.05 | Near Certainty |
| Aston Villa | 1.10 | Strong Contender |
| Tottenham Hotspur | 1.22 | Strong Contender |
| Manchester United | 1.29 | Likely |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | 1.30 | Likely |
| Crystal Palace | 2.25 | Bubble Team |
| Nottingham Forest | 2.86 | Bubble Team |
| Bournemouth | 3.00 | Fringe Candidate |
| Fulham | 3.50 | Fringe Candidate |
| West Ham United | 4.50 | Long Shot |
| Everton | 4.50 | Long Shot |
| Wolverhampton | 13.50 | Extreme Long Shot |
| Brentford | 17.00 | Extreme Long Shot |
| Leeds United | 20.00 | Extreme Long Shot |
| Sunderland | 26.00 | Near Impossible |
| Burnley | 26.00 | Near Impossible |
Safe Bets (60+ Points): The established top 6 (Liverpool, Arsenal, City, Chelsea, Newcastle, Spurs on paper) plus potentially Brighton fall into this bracket.
Mid-Table Comfort (50-59 Points): Teams like Aston Villa (56.5-58.5), West Ham (around 50-52 range based on squad), Crystal Palace (45.5-47.5 forecast but FA Cup winners), and Fulham (45.5-47.5) are generally expected to occupy these spots. Bournemouth (49-51 forecast), despite losing key players like Kerkez, are still tipped for relative safety.
Fighting to Avoid the Scrap (40-49 Points): Everton (46-48 forecast under Moyes), Brentford (42.5-44.5 forecast – heavily impacted by Thomas Frank’s departure and Mbeumo’s potential exit), and Nottingham Forest fall here. Survival is the primary goal, top 10 would be a bonus.
Premier League Relegation Odds: New Boys Brace for Impact

The stark reality for promoted clubs is brutal. The last two seasons saw all six promoted teams immediately relegated. Bookmakers expect this trend to continue in 2025/26.
Sunderland: The play-off winners are overwhelming favourites for the drop. Bookmakers offer minimal hope, pricing them around 2.62 for relegation.
Burnley: Scott Parker’s record-breaking Championship defence (just 16 goals conceded) faces an enormous step up. Priced around 2.75 for relegation with a forecast of 28-30 points.
Leeds United: The Championship champions are seen as having the best chance of survival among the new boys, but it’s still a monumental task. Relegation odds of 5.00 and a forecast of 35.5-37.5 points suggest they’ll be in the mix until the end but likely fall short.
Established Clubs in the Mix: Wolves 13.00, Brentford 15.00, Everton 16.00, and Fulham 16.00 are the most fancied of the existing Premier League sides to potentially get dragged down, though their odds remain significantly longer than the promoted trio. Brentford’s outlook has notably worsened with Thomas Frank’s exit.
Premier League 2025/26 Relegation Odds
*Premier League 2025/26 Relegation Odds (Representative):*
| Club | Odds |
| Sunderland | 2.62 |
| Burnley | 2.75 |
| Leeds | 5.00 |
| Wolves | 13.00 |
| Brentford | 15.00 |
Next Manager To Be Sacked Odds Premier League
The pressure cooker is already simmering at Old Trafford. Ruben Amorim (Man Utd) finds himself installed as the early favourite for the dreaded “sack race.”
Despite a full pre-season, the Portuguese manager faces a brutal opening fixture list (Arsenal, Chelsea, Man City in the first four games) and the immense weight of expectation at a club still reeling from its worst-ever Premier League points haul (42).
Bookmakers suggest failure to navigate this rocky start could see him gone “by Christmas,” making him the prime candidate to be the first managerial casualty.
Scott Parker (Burnley) and Daniel Farke (Leeds) will also be under intense scrutiny from day one given their teams’ status as relegation certainties.
Premier League Odds Top Goalscorer
| Player | Odds |
| Erling Haaland (Man City) | 2.25 |
| Mohamed Salah (Liverpool) | 5.25 |
| Alexander Isak (New Castle United) | 8.00 |
| Cole Palmer (Chelsea) | 21.00 |
| João Pedro (Chelsea) | 23.00 |
| Ollie Watkins (Aston Villa) | 29.00 |
| Dominic Solanke (Tottenham) | 34.00 |
| Omar Marmoush (Man City) | 35.00 |
This is for the lucrative Golden Boot award and we know there are some sharpshooters out there who love to bag it.
Haaland is the current favorite at ~2.25, suggesting strong confidence from bookmakers in him leading the scoring charts.
Salah, last season’s top scorer with 29 goals, is second-favorite at ~5.25, riding on consistency and role at Liverpool.
Isak offers value at ~8.00, positioning him as a strong outsider.
Cole Palmer, João Pedro, Watkins, Solanke, and others provide each-way appeal for bettors looking beyond the favourites.
So who has the best odds? It is Erling Haaland who has odds set at 2.25 followed by Mo Salah at 5.25 and Isak at 8.00 for the top three odds for top goalscorer.
What are the odds for Sunderland to stay in the Premier League?
Forget staying up; the bookmakers can barely conceive of it. Sunderland’s odds for relegation are as short as 1/4 (Ladbrokes), meaning you’d need to bet £4 just to win £1. Conversely, their odds for survival are exceptionally long, typically around 3/1 or higher.
This translates to bookmakers giving them only a ~20-25% chance of staying up based on the implied probability. Spreadex’s points forecast of just 24.5-26.5 points – historically relegation fodder – underscores the monumental challenge they face.
While the romantic might dream of a Great Escape, the cold, hard numbers suggest Sunderland’s return to the top flight will be brief and brutal.
Their best hope? Shattering the recent trend of instant relegation for promoted sides – but the odds are firmly stacked against them! Watch & Bet on Football =>
Who won the Premier League in 2025 odds?
Stay tuned to SillySeason.com all season long! We’ll bring you weekly betting tips, in-depth tactical analysis on how these odds are shifting, and expert insights to help you navigate the thrilling chaos of the Premier League 2025/26 campaign.
Will Liverpool hold firm? Can Arteta finally deliver? Will the promoted clubs defy history? The odds are set, but the drama is just beginning.
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